The American Indians care about the ties of the United States under the new administration, shows the survey

The American Indians are increasingly optimistic about the future of India, but they have deep concerns about relations between the United States and India under a second administration of Donald Trump, according to a new survey.

The India-American Survey of 2024, made by Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and Yougov in October, examined Indian-American political attitudes.

Two fundamental elections occurred in India and the United States last year, in the middle of a deep, but occasionally tense association. Tensions between countries lit on a Federal accusation of the United States of the Indian billionaire Gautam Adani and Accusations of a murder plot backed by Delhi on American soil.

With more than five million residents of Indian origin in the US, the survey asked some key questions: how do American Indians see the handling of former President Joe Biden of ties between the United States and India? Do you see Donald Trump as a better option? And how do they evaluate the trajectory of India after the 2024 elections?

Here are some key conclusions of the report, which was based on a national representative survey of 1,206 Indian-American adult residents.

The American Indians described the management of the Biden administration of relations between the United States and India more favorably than Trump’s first mandate.

A hypothetical administration of Kamala Harris was seen as best for bilateral ties than a second Trump term during the surveys.

Party polarization plays a key role: 66% of Indian-American Republicans believe that Trump was better for ties between the United States and India, while only 8% of the Democrats agree.

On the contrary, half of the Indian-American Democrats favor Biden, compared to 15% of Republicans.

Since the majority of American Indians are Democrats, this gives Biden the general advantage.

During their February meeting at the White House, Trump and Prime Minister Narendra Modi praised the leadership of the other, but Trump criticized India’s high commercial rates, calling them a “big problem.”

The alleged Indian plot to kill a separatist on American soil has not registered widely; Only half of respondents know him.

In October, the United States accused a former Indian Intelligence officer at the attempt of murder and money laundering for allegedly conspiring to kill Gurpatwant Singh PanA defender of the United States for an Independent SIJ state, Khalistan.

This marked the first time that the Indian government has been directly involved in an alleged attempt at murder against a dissident. India has declared that it is cooperating with the investigation of the United States. In January, a panel created by India to examine Washington’s accusations recommended Legal action against an unidentified individual who is believed to be the former intelligence agent.

A close majority of respondents said that India “would not be justified to take such measures and have identical feelings over the United States if the positions were reversed.”

The American Indians are divided along partisan lines of the party, with Democrats who express greater empathy for the Palestinians and the Republicans who incline Pro-Israel.

Four out of 10 respondents believe that Biden has been too pro-Israel in the ongoing conflict.

The attack in October 2023 for the fighters of Hamas de Gaza killed around 1,200 people, mostly civilians, within Israel and saw 251 people hostage. Most have been published in high fire agreements or other agreements.

Israel’s military offensive has killed more than 48,000 Palestinians in Gaza, mostly women and children, according to the Ministry of Health led by Hamas.

The conversations to prolong the high fragile fire, whose first phase ended on March 1, are expected to resume in Qatar on Monday.

Forty -seven percent of American Indians believe that India is directed in the right direction, an increase of 10 percentage points for four years.

The same action approves Modi’s performance as Prime Minister. In addition, four out of 10 respondents feel that the 2024 elections in India, where Modi’s party did not get the majority, made the country more democratic.

The survey found that many American Indians support Modi and believe that India is on the right path, but half unknown the alleged attempt to murder in the American soil.

Does this indicate a gap in access to information, selective commitment or a tendency to overlook certain actions in favor of a broader nationalist feeling?

“It is difficult to decipher the precise reason of this, but our sense is that this has more to do with the selective commitment,” said Milan Vaishnav, co -author of the study.

The data collected by Carnegie in 2020 show that around 60% of the American Indians regularly follow the Indian government and public affairs, leaving a significant portion that “participates only sporadically.”

“Often, people form broad impressions based on a combination of news, social networks and interactions with friends and family. Given the flood of news in the United States in recent times, it is not entirely surprising that the plot of the” Rental Murder “did not break for a large section of the community,” Vaishnav said.

The American Indians, although cautious about Trump and generally favor Biden or Harris for relations between the United States and India, continue to support Modi firmly in India. Given Modi’s nationalist policies, what explains this divergence? Is it promoted more by the personal impact than ideology?

“This is a case of ‘where you feel is where you are,” said Mr. Vaishnav.

He said in a related investigation: “We have explored this in -depth question and we discover that the American Indians generally have more liberal views on the policy problems of the United States compared to India.”

“For example, while Muslim American Indians, minorities both in India and in the United States, maintain consistently more liberal liberal attitudes, American Hindu Indians express liberal views in the United States (where they are a minority) but more conservative positions in India, where they belong to most.

“In other words, the majority or minority status of a person plays a key role in the configuration of their political views,” said Vaishnav.

If the American Indians considered Trump as a threat to bilateral ties, why did they hug him during his first mandate, as seen in events such as ‘Hello Modi!’? Have you changed your opinion about Trump due to your policies, or is it more about changing political currents?

“We must not generalize from an event or even a segment of the American Indian population. More than 50,000 American Indians met in ‘Hello, modi!’ First, see Modi, not Trump.

“Secondly, this is a diverse diaspora with a variety of political opinions. While US Indians are overwhelmingly inclined to the Democratic Party, a very considerable minority: we estimate around 30% in 2024, we support the Republicans under Trump.”

The American Indians remain committed to the Democratic Party, but the attachment has decreased. About 47% are identified as Democrats, below 56% in 2020, they found a survey last year.

Do the American Indians have a nuanced understanding of political developments in both countries, or their views are more influenced by the narratives promoted by the diaspora and the media’s echo cameras?

Vaishnav said that 2020 data show that online news were the main source of information about India, followed by television, social networks and mouth to mouth. In social networks, YouTube, Facebook and WhatsApp were the most common platforms.

“The direct commitment to India is more limited, with American Indians born abroad typically more involved than those born in the United States.

“That said, one should not overlook the fact that cultural connectivity ties remain quite strong, even with the second and third generation Indians.”

In the end, the survey underlines a complex portrait of the American Indian community, a formed by a mixture of selective commitment, changing political winds and different personal experiences.

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